Simulating Worst-Case Scenarios for Passive Capital Income

After a period of deprivation and frugality, Luise has entered a phase of greater financial freedom. All her funds are in an ETF portfolio that averages a 7% return in the long term. Unfortunately, the 7% return is not constant and fluctuates significantly. Luise plans to withdraw a certain amount every month, either through dividends or by selling shares. Before I continue with a financial-themed story, I want to clarify that I’m not a financial expert....

September 25, 2023

Back-of-the-envelope Simulation of Stock Prices

When calculating financial goals, it’s often assumed, like on the informative website Finanzfluss, that there’s a fixed annual return. In the suggested return range of around 5% to 7% per year, I dare to challenge the expectation of consistent returns without the fluctuations of stock investments. Therefore, I’ve briefly explored simulating stock prices and implemented a savings plan calculator based on this concept. The focus of this article is on the simulation aspect....

August 16, 2023